12.3.09

let the bailouts begin! - 3/10/08

From Brent on October 3rd, 2008

http://www.fool.com/community/pod/2008/080919.htm

From Buck on October 3rd, 2008

Unfortunately there's a misconception that this bailout is only helping out the people that made bad choices at the expense of people who didn't.

Fortunately, that's not true.

The people that did make mistakes are going under, being taken over by the better run companies, and in some cases (as in AIG) the government is taking over the company (at a major loss for CEO's and stock holders). For AIG it's an 80% stake. Also, there's a very good chance that tax payers will actually make a profit from this bailout, as long as the bad assets are bought at market value (and not above).

The 700 billion dollars is a max that may need to be spent. The number was actually picked high enough to induce confidence that this plan would be enough. It may not all be used. A similar plan was actually used in the 80's for a similar crisis they had at that time, and in the end the government and taxpayers (like dlbuffy from the article) made a profit.

The free market is like evolution, it's a survival of the fittest type of system, problems come along and the weakest of the gene pool get weeded out, and at the same time things get changed and fixed to adjust to the new atmosphere and new threats. If this had been the 1930's we'd be in a great depression already but people, companies, and governments have learned their mistakes. There are organizations in place like the FDIC to help make the recession as smooth as possible. A lot of why this stuff happened is there were new financial systems built in the last 80 years, whose risks and benefits weren't quite understood yet. Now they're much better understood and companies and government are changing accordingly, like how I told you that Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs applied to be bank holding institutions which means they will be more regulated and won't be able to take as big risks, but have more access to assets. The free market didn't fail, it's working perfectly. We're in the downside of a business cycle, which, though can be painful, hypothetically should allow the bad companies to fail or at least restructure and for the good, strong, innovative companies to retrench and prepare for a more prosperous future. Many of the major companies that exist today actually were started during recessions.